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BTC nears fourth straight monthly loss

Published 556 words 3 min read

TLDR

Bitcoin (BTC) is on track for its fourth consecutive monthly loss, reflecting a deep mid cycle drawdown rather than a single day shock.

  1. BTC has fallen in each month since October, with January already down over 5%, making this the longest monthly losing streak in about eight years.
  2. The decline is driven by macro risk off conditions, ETF outflows, and heavy derivatives liquidations, not by a specific Bitcoin failure or technical bug.
  3. Key levels around 82,000 to 80,000 dollars and spot ETF flows now matter most for the next move, with deeper support in the mid 70,000s if selling continues.

Deep Dive

1. Four Month Losing Streak

Recent analysis notes BTC is on course for a fourth straight red month, after losses of about 4% in October, 17% in November, 3.99% in December, and more than 5% so far in January. A detailed breakdown of these declines and the current price near the low 80,000s is given in this CryptoSlate piece on Bitcoins fourth red month and the 81,000 dollar floor being critical.

Other coverage describes this as Bitcoins longest monthly losing streak in roughly eight years, with the asset now about one third below its October 2025 all time high near 126,000 dollars. The slide has also pushed BTC back below its two year moving average and major weekly moving averages, which historically aligns with either deeper drawdowns or long sideways phases.

2. Macro And Flow Drivers

Multiple reports emphasize that this is a macro driven sell off. Gold and silver also saw sharp drops during the same late January turmoil, and risk assets broadly sold off as investors reassessed interest rate cut expectations and dollar liquidity, showing this is not a Bitcoin specific crisis.

At the same time, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have logged several consecutive months of net outflows, totaling roughly several billion dollars over the latest three month stretch, while a recent five day window saw about 1.1 billion dollars leave these products. That steady selling removes a key demand source that had supported prices earlier.

Derivatives amplified the move. One session saw around 1.6 to 1.7 billion dollars in crypto longs liquidated, including roughly 750 to 800 million dollars in BTC longs, which accelerated the drop once key supports broke.

What this means

BTC is behaving like a high beta macro asset in a tightening liquidity phase, so policy expectations and ETF flows are as important as crypto native news right now.

3. Key Levels And Signals

Technically, several commentaries highlight 85,150 dollars as a former support turned resistance and 82,000 to 81,000 dollars as a critical weekly support zone. A sustained break and weekly closes below that band would increase the risk of a move toward deeper supports around 78,000 to mid 70,000s, where prior consolidation occurred.

On the upside, analysts look for BTC to reclaim the mid 80,000s first and then the 90,000 to 94,000 dollar range to signal that this correction is stabilizing rather than evolving into a full bear phase. ETF flow data, macro prints that change rate cut odds, and whether liquidations start to shrink are the main confirmation signals to watch.

Conclusion

Bitcoins approach to a fourth straight monthly loss reflects a broad risk off, liquidity driven reset after a strong prior cycle, not a single project failure. The balance between macro conditions, ETF flows, and how BTC behaves around the 82,000 to 80,000 dollar area will shape whether this remains a deep correction within a larger uptrend or transitions into a more prolonged bearish regime.

Educational information only. Crypto markets are volatile and this is not financial advice.


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